var targetElement = $(this.root).closest(‘.thing.link’); var INTERVAL = 0.5; var timeDiff = currentTime – lastTime; lastTime = currentTime; if (timeDiff >0 && timeDiff
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Kitten Academy


Kitten Academy =1″,”2:00″,”1:00″,”D”],[2007,”max”,null,”Mar”,”Sun>=8″,”2:00″,”1:00″,”D”],[2007,”max”,null,”Nov”,”Sun>=1″,”2:00″,”0″,”S”]]}},”showAnnouncementBar”:false};]]>



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淘宝网 – 淘!我喜欢

淘宝App ; ]]>

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Daily Report – Bitcoin and Market Update (December 11 2021)

HTF 1D:

Daily chart is showing off continuation of what I call a PTSD range which usually comes after heavy price shocks, unpredicted FUD news or abnormal downside volatility. As long as it trades between 42k and 52k boundaries, Im not really expecting much fireworks. That said, it’s quite a wide range pattern hence bringing buying and selling opportunities across the timeframes.

Bollinger Bands analysis suggests that bitcoin is trading right at the lower band support which shows that it’s basically at the lows of statistical volatility. The direction of the bands is downwards in quite an expanded width between 45.7k USD and 61.3k USD levels. As long as bitcoin is trading inside this range, it should stay there for about 95% of the time (4 standard deviations: 2 StDev over the MA20 mean and 2 StDev below the mean). Hence, any wick to the downside below the lower band is usually an abnormal volatility case which can be faded/bought as a dip. In other words, any time that bitcoin slashes beneath the lower Bollinger Band and closes back inside the volatility range, it is a potential reversal/bottom any similar occurrence serves as a good buying opportunity.

On top of that, the price is sitting at the long-term 50-week average support converging with the lower Bollinger Band for additional confirmation. Shorting into this long-term double support area is rather not a good payoff. It doesn’t mean it’s impossible to make money shorting micro timeframes into the support. It means the reward to risk is simply not worth it.

MA20 (53.5k USD) combined with aVWAP (55.8k) suggest that this is the short-term resistance cluster under which bitcoin is impacted by more bearish activity. Once broken and closed a strong day or week above this cluster, it’s a solid upside breakout signal.

MTF 4H:

MTF picture is in local downwards trend with the excessive downside wick clearly marked between 42k and 47k regions. The longer the wick, the more technical significance it brings. It reflects on the buying orders that hit right there aggressively with little liquidity. The less liquidity (after flushing it on the drop before), the easier it is to move an asset in price up and down with smaller amount of money. One way or another, the wick shows where the buying zone was defined by whales. That means that selling into 42-47k region most likely is giving your sells to the buying whales based on the technical analysis.

AVWAP levels anchored at the high (69k USD) and low (42k USD) define fair price of bitcoin from the medium-term and short-term points of view respectively. Short-term fair price is 48887 and medium-term fair price where bitcoin should be trading at is 55860. It’s trading at the short-term fair price and way beyond the fair medium-term price. This suggests that BTCUSD is a subject to trade around it’s flat fair mean between 47k and 52k for short-term most of the time and soon to recover into 55860 region right after short-term instability recovers.

Short-term wise it is possible we see more FUD news coming out (they usually release it AFTER prices drop to compress liquidity in the downside area, not before the drop) and flash wicks into 42-47k area which should be quickly bought up.

LTF 1H:

Short-term picture is showing a convergence of volume profiles marking out a few significant levels to watch.

Like I mentioned on my yesterday’s webinar, the drop alone from the 57000s region down to 42000s happened on very low volume which aggregated the most sells and liquidations at 53000s and virtually no volume displayed beneath 52000s. This may be a confirmation that the market technicals at the time of the drop presented very thin order book and fact that market was not prepared / was not expecting that low levels. Lack of selling volume beneath 52000s is significant here. If the market had been to reverse and end the bull market truly, I would expect to see large selling volume aggregated in the lower part of the range. This overall seems to be more a thin order book issue than real bearishness, especially that price jumped back immediately 12% within the same hour.

Further analysis of the volume profile after the drop suggests a convergent aggregation of volume in two regions: 50-51k and 47.3k-49.3k. The biggest amount of transactions happened inside these regions which suggests that those have the highest chances to act as proper resistance and support regions once reclaimed. Until proper reclaim (a strong day or week close above), price action is expected to oscillate around these levels in the PTSD range until the local trend pulls back towards 55-56k levels as mentioned in the previous chapters.

Short-term MA200 is positioned at 49500s while trending down consequently. It suggests that short-term trend is down on average and as long as it is this way, BTCUSD is a subject to fear and bearish advantage/impact. Once market action breaks above to establish trading over 49500s to later close a day or week through at least 50.5k USD, the market is supposed to continue upwards towards 55-56k in the short-term.

FEAR/GREED INDEX

The index hits the lows of 16 points on the scale which has been virtually unseen since 29-30k regions of June-July bottoming process. Similarly, based on the sentiment we can also induct that this reminds a bottoming process.

The crowds are always right in the middle of trends and always wrong at the extremes (unless unexpected news disturbs of course). The more extreme sentiment and poralized opinion they present, the more wrong they get about guessing the top or bottom.

Historically speaking, anytime the fear/greed index tilted below 20 points on the scale, it has been of great buying opportunity. This is NOT a timing indicator (like RSI is) though. It is NOT intended to let you pinpoint a top or a bottom. It’s working to show off when the market usually gets it wrong and when the market turns into favorable buying or selling opportunity.

This sentiment suggests its a massive buy for medium-term. If you look at the cyclicality of the oscillations of the index over past few months, one can acknowledge a month long average time for bitcoin to swing from the one extreme to the other. It’s fair to expect imo that it might be a good buying opportunity for what’s set for us in January 2022.

Bitcoin: Mean Hash Rate (168h MA)

This onchain metric is the average estimated number of hashes per second produced by the miners in the network. It is a computational network’s engagement or overall activity.

Importantly, it has just marked a new all time high value at 173.21M TH/s (Terahashes/second) for Dec 10 2021. It is a massive confirmation that onchain is boiling up behind the scenes which is building quite a heavy divergence between bullish hashrate activity and bearish price action. I’d refer to it as a “bullish divergence” as in confirmation that short-term price doesnt reflect bitcoin’s fundamental/onchain growth and hence makes it under valued for the next months potentially.

This is a significant piece of information which is yet another confirmation that after short-term instability, range and indecision, the market can be fairly expected to rise soon after.

Trading through the noise is very hard challenge and the CMT studies may suggest that for vast majority of the traders doing little to nothing after experiencing price shocks most often works best. At all times, though, stay protected and do not over leverage or over invest. More help and explanations I brought during my yesterday’s webinar. If missed it, catch the link below. God bless!

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The Blue Tit Nest Box Cam of Loughborough, UK.


The blue tits make a family, over |80 days. (tw: baby birds die a natural death, non-violently.)
From empty nest to first egg in less than 8 minutes.
First egg hatching to chicks in 23 minutes. Here is the same thing in 21 minutes, without the upsetting parts.
Want to see all the details, every day? More inside!

Where’s the realtor? Someone is shopping for real estate.

Will anyone move in? (Empty box only)

March 9: Starting to build the nest.

March 10: A bit harder to do in the rain.

March 11: Interior decorating requires so many decisions.

March 12: They’re in no rush.

March 13: This is tiring.

March 14: We need to be a team here.

March 15: More than 50 visits to the box.

March 16: We’re actually making progress!

March 17: The busiest day so far.

March 18: A bit manic in the redecoration.

March 19: Calmer, but one has to work day and night.

March 20: They’re settling into a routine.

March 21: Dad, you’re not helping. Get out.

March 22: Working steadily.

March 23: Time to start forming the nesting cup.

March 24: Some domestic squabbling.

March 25: What’s this camera thing?

March 26: Time to start bringing in the wool.

March 27: The woman doing most of the work …

March 28: The nest is really taking shape. Only one quick eviction of the male.

March 29: Another manic day. Everything must be perfect!

March 30: She kicked him out four times.

March 31: The removing of stuff and bringing in new stuff continues.

Bonus March 31: More squabbling, and some yelling.

April 1: Ok, fine, let’s work together.

April 2: More fluff is needed.

April 3: She’s gotta get ready for the big event.

April 4: Look honey, I’m pregnant. Deal with it.

April 5: More fluff, more fussing.

April 6: Blue fluff?

April 7: Where’d she go?

April 8: More fluff, more squabbling.

April 9: Don’t I get recognized for trying to help?

April 10: Gotta make the nest nice and cozy.

April 11: Orange fluff.

April 12: More fine tuning, more squabbling.

April 13: Getting along much better now.

April 14: She spends the night in the box for the first time.

April 15: Bedding down for the night.

April 16: Some feathers, some fluff, lots of preparation.

April 17: Waking up in the morning. Is he getting better at feeding her?

April 18: Another busy day, getting ready.

April 19: Let’s get it on, honey. (Not seen in box)

April 20: I love you, here’s some lunch.

April 21: Was it good for you?

April 22: More bonking.

April 23: FIRST EGG!

April 24: Another egg.

April 25: Another egg. Dad is holding up his end of the bargain, even seems impressed.

April 26: Another egg.

April 27: Another egg.

April 28: Another egg. The lady starts to incubate. There may have been more eggs hatched, but we haven’t seen them.

April 29: More incubation.

April 30: He made 25 trips to feed his beloved.

May 1: More incubation, more feeding.

May 2: He brought her a nice bright green caterpillar.

May 3: Neither rain nor snow shall stop him.

May 4: Halfway through the incubation period!

May 5: A clear view of the eggs.

May 6: Less than a week to go! Here are some delicious insects for you, my love.

May 7: I love you too, honey, but I think I’ll save this worm for later.

May 8: More incubation. Mangia, mangia!

May 9: First egg hatched! She’s eating the shells.

May 10: Up to four eggs hatched!

May 11: Seven eggs?

May 12: A grand total of eight!

May 13: The first upsetting discovery.

May 14: Woops, this is too big, I gotta eat some of it first.

May 15: Magpie attack thwarted!

May 16: Look honey, you can’t stay here all the time now.

May 17: Don’t you love the way the babies stick their asses in the air?

May 18: Hey, I got wings now!

May 19: More intruders.

May 20: As they get bigger, she’s gotta make the nest bigger.

May 21: She stress-ate the caterpillar.

May 22: A cat is unsuccessful.

May 23: Recording failure.

May 24: Yummy caterpillars. Their wings beat like drums.

May 25: A sad day.

May 26: They’re growing, and yelling. A starling peeks in.

May 27: Recording failure.

May 28: Lots to see today! Three starling incidents, much wing flapping, a frankly enormous caterpillar which went down in one and a lot of outside of the nesting cup hanging out type stuff.

May 29: FLEDGING!! Short version, extended version.

Still can’t get enough? Here’s a live cam. She currently roosts during the night, is not there during the day.

I hope I got the links right; if there’s a stray one that doesn’t work, they’re all there in the poster’s playlist.

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iPhone13 ケース iPhone12 ケース iPhone SE 手帳型ケース 13pro 13mini promax スマホケース iPhone8 SE2 11 XR 手帳ケース レザーケース シズカウィル shizukawill(シズカウィル) – 通販

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Make cooking and cleaning less of a chore with these discounted home accessories


Streamline kitchen prep to mess management with the help of these limited-time offers.

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Eternal Home, by Fire-Toolz

  • Streaming + Download

    Includes unlimited streaming via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    Purchasable with gift card

      $12

     

  • Record/Vinyl + Digital Album

    Transparent vinyl edition. Limited to 150x. A/B is clear green, C/D is clear orange. Double LP in a full-color gatefold jacket with two double-sided inserts including lyrics. Artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured at Smashed Plastic Records.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 2 days

    6 remaining

    Purchasable with gift card

      $35  

     

  • Record/Vinyl + Digital Album

    Black vinyl edition. Double LP in a full-color gatefold jacket with two double-sided inserts including lyrics. Artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured at Smashed Plastic Records.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 2 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $30  

     

  • Compact Disc (CD) + Digital Album

    CD packaged in a clear jewel case with an 8-page booklet. Artwork by Jeremy Coubrough.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 2 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $15  

     

  • Cassette + Digital Album

    C80 – white shell with full color labels. 2-sided 7-panel J-Card with artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured at A to Z Audio. This version of the cassette is an unlimited edition.

    First several copies come with a bonus weatherproof vinyl sticker from the Fire-Toolz vault.

    Estimated to ship out in early March, will be to you ASAP.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    shipping out on or around March 4, 2022

    Purchasable with gift card

      $15  

     

  • T-Shirt/Apparel + Digital Album

    Black Bella Canvas long sleeve shirt – full color printing on front and both sleeves. Sizes Xtra Small through 2XL available. Shirt is printed, fulfilled, and shipped on demand by Printful.

    Does not ship in combined orders with musical merch and prices reflect this. It’s cheaper for you to purchase the musical merch & this separately.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 10 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $40  

     

  • T-Shirt/Apparel

    Black Gildan short sleeve shirt — full color printing on front. Sizes Small through 3XL available. Shirt is printed, fulfilled, and shipped on demand by Printful.

    Does not ship in combined orders with musical merch and prices reflect this. It’s cheaper for you to purchase the musical merch & this separately.

    ships out within 10 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $22  

     

  • Full color 50MM herb grinder. Only for use with herbs that are legal in your home state.

    USA ONLY. INTERNATIONAL ORDERS WILL BE CANCELLED & REFUNDED. SORRY Y’ALL!

    Can only ship in combined orders with CDs and cassettes. Shipping prices reflect this and it will be cheaper for you to buy your musical merch and grinder in separate orders.

    ships out within 2 days

    edition of 100 

    Purchasable with gift card

      $24.20  

     

  • Hat

    Embroidered bucket hat. 100% cotton hat, Big X brand hat, approximately 8 inches in diameter. Hat is printed, fulfilled, and shipped on demand by Printful.

    Does not ship in combined orders with musical merch and prices reflect this. It’s cheaper for you to purchase the musical merch & this separately.

    ships out within 10 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $24.20  

     

  • All-over print fanny pack with printed interior pocket. Available in sizes small and large. Order printed, fulfilled, and shipped on demand by Printful.

    Does not ship in combined orders with musical merch and prices reflect this. It’s cheaper for you to purchase the musical merch & this separately.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 10 days

    Purchasable with gift card

      $35  

     

  • Bag + Digital Album

    LIMITED EDITION of 42.0.

    All-over-print, extra-plush backpack. Approximate size is 17 inches tall, 13 inches wide, 4 inches deep. Large inside pocket with a separate compartment for a 15″ laptop, front pocket with a zipper, and a hidden pocket with zipper on the back of the bag. Backpack is printed, fulfilled, and shipped on demand by Printful.

    Does not ship in combined orders with musical merch and prices reflect this. It’s cheaper for you to purchase the musical merch & this separately.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    ships out within 10 days

    edition of 42 

    Purchasable with gift card

      $60  

     

  • Red Cassette

    Cassette + Digital Album

    C80 – clear red shell with full color labels. 2-sided 7-panel J-Card with artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured at A to Z Audio. Red cassette limited to 150 copies.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    Sold Out

  • CD Digipak Edition

    Compact Disc (CD) + Digital Album

    CD packaged in a full-color 8-panel digi-pak with artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured by Sienna Digital. Digi-pak CD is an edition of 300.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    Sold Out

  • Swirl Vinyl 2xLP

    Record/Vinyl + Digital Album

    Swirl vinyl version. Limited to 75x. A/B is green swirl, C/D is orange swirl. Double LP in a full-color gatefold jacket with two double-sided inserts including lyrics. Artwork by Jeremy Coubrough. Manufactured at Smashed Plastic Records.

    Includes unlimited streaming of Eternal Home via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.

    Sold Out

  • released October 15, 2021

    Eternal Home was fully realized at the Crystal Palace in West Humboldt Park, Chicago 08/2019 – 04/2020 & at the Cat Shack in the Chicagoland boonies 05/2020 – 10/2020. Some drums were tracked at Jamdek in Chicago 03/2020. Most of the vocals were tracked at the Galaxxu rehearsal space in Chicago 08/2020.

    Composition, lyrics, vocals, electric & acoustic guitar, fretted & fretless bass, live & electronic drums, thrift store keyboards, virtual instruments, production, mixing, & mastering: Fire-Toolz / Angel Marcloid

    Live drum tracking & preliminary drum mixing on |ØFF| & Universe: Doug Malone

    Saxophone on Shenpa, Umbilical, & Pinewaves, + clarinet on Яubber: Ian Smith aka my Fiverr angel

    Flute on |ØFF|: 空YAMAHA

    Spoken word on Odd Cat: Megan Lloyd aka liverfire

    Bass guitar on Saccidānanda: IODES LYKOS

    Intro glitchies on Яubber: Bastian Void

    Noise on Umbilical: Living Room

    Dog barks in To Make Whole: Sonny (recorded by Bianca Fanty), Gunny (recorded by Whettman Chelmets), & a pup who wishes to remain anonymous (recorded by Will Wade)

    Artwork and graphic design: Jeremy Coubrough

    Thank you Ra, Manda, Georgette, Brahman, Jerica, Sheri, the Logos, Tricia, Maarshu, Angie, Plotkinworks, Truth, Jordan, Aaron, Brian, Doug, Max, Eckhart, Süki, Pork, Basket, Rick, Irene, Sandra, & my guide(s?).

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    What beavers, nature’s engineers, can teach us about managing water


    In areas increasingly threatened by droughts and floods due to climate change, beaver dams have proven time and again to be useful.

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    The best shower speakers to upgrade your daily routine


    Looking for the best shower speaker? Check out these waterproof speakers and enjoy music, podcasts & audiobooks while you have some me-time.

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