Pache.co Information Technologies

SAN DIEGO – Diego Pacheco is eager to show off the finished product from a camp spent under a new team.

The rising 20-year-old super middleweight prospect is set for his first fight under head trainer Jose Benavidez Sr. The moment comes in a scheduled eight-round clash with veteran trialhorse Genc ‘The Sexy Albania’ Pllana (9-3-1, 5KOs) on DAZN’s ‘Before The Bell’ preliminary undercard Saturday at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, California.

“I feel very motivated to be working with Jose Benavidez Sr. and alongside David Benavidez and Jose Valenzuela,” Pacheco told BoxingScene.com. “The three of us are young. We have that hunger to keep growing in the sport.”

South Central’s Pacheco (13-0, 10KOs) received a lot of great work in the presence of Benavidez (25-0, 22KOs), a former two-time WBC super middleweight titlist who—at just 25 years of age—still has a bright future ahead of him. Benavidez had to alter his camp to adjust to a new fight date of May 21, while Valenzuela—a 22-year-old lightweight prospect—returns April 16 on the Errol Spence-Yordenis Ugas Showtime Pay-Per-View undercard in Arlington, Texas.

The energy in camp was more than enough to motivate Pacheco to bring his game to the next level, which can only be good news for the man tasked with enhancing an already rising young talent.

“It’s an honor to be part of Diego Pacheco’s career,” Benavidez Sr. told BoxingScene,com. “He is a very talented fighter and I feel a great responsibility and huge commitment. The key is to work very hard and smart to move and develop his talent even more.”

Pacheco has put in plenty of work in preparing for Pllana, a durable super middleweight from Hagerstown, Maryland by way of Kosovo who has never been dropped or stopped through more than four years as a pro. Pacheco has stopped his last two opponents—including an eighth-round knockout of unbeaten Lucas de Abreu in his most recent start last October in Fresno, California. An early night at the office is not the primary goal; more so, delivering a complete performance on Saturday and continuing to grow under new leadership.

“I’ve been around for a while, and I feel like a lot of people forget I’m still 20 years old. I’ve made a few changes in my camp and learned a lot this training camp with Coach Benavidez. I feel stronger than ever. Can’t wait to show all my fans an exciting night of boxing.”

Pacheco-Pllana serves in supporting capacity to a 12-round junior bantamweight fight between legendary former four-division champion Roman ‘Chocolatito’ Gonzalez (50-3, 41KOs) and WBC flyweight titlist Julio Cesar Martinez (18-1, 14KOs; 2ND), whose belt is not at stake.

Jake Donovan is a senior writer for BoxingScene.com. Twitter: @JakeNDaBox

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HTF 12H:

The middaily chart is revealing a bunch of technical implications derived of the most recent breakdown below the key support level at $40500. Let’s dive into the details.

Firstly, the fear-induced breakdown below the said support level has been empowered by the selloffs seen also on the external markets like equities. It is essential to understand that bitcoin is a subject to the macroeconomic and fundamental changes coming from the outside of the crypto market. More often than note, such external events like monetary policy changes, rate hikes, media manipulation (see Russia-Ukraine tensions), etc. In such instances, technical analysis is of secondary importance and even the best-looking chart may be disrupted by the external news at any time. Technical analysis gives a spectrum of the behavior between the traders seen INSIDE the market, assuming the OUTSIDE factors remain the same.

Trend wise, BTCUSD is still trading in a new bullish trend started at the bottom of the $33000 area. Now it is attempting to make an another higher low against the bottom. Locally it’s failed to hold the support line at the 41500 USD zone and hence is in a short-term downwards trend, being a corrective wave to the trend initiated at the market lows. Technical invalidation to the ongoing upwards trend seems to occur when a daily candle closes below 36000 USD level as of now. Price action based support is at 38250 USD region. Similarly, the resistance seems to be at the 50500 USD region.

As we dive deeper, the BirbicatorPRO has flashed an invalidation to the bullish control over the market since the breakdown of the 40500 USD level. For that, the bears have re-gained the short or medium term control over the market. Note that it does not certainly mean BTC is heading south to 20k as many may fear it is. Instead it means that the bears have the upper hand and are who dictates the play for the next days.
The bulls can re-gain the upper hand with a clean break and close above the CTF Trailer Stop at 43768 USD. The Level Lines provide bitcoin with support at 39158 USD locally. Meanwhile, the resistances are as follows: 46877, 52670 USD for the nearest anchors.

MTF 4H:

The MTF chart shows a set of the BPRO indicators.

The Momentum Bands imply that the expected range for the next days of bitcoin is given at the 38000-44600 USD zone based on average volatility per standard deviations. The dark orange shade of the Low Band indicate that the momentum is oversold while BTCUSD is trading near the volatility lows.

The BWAP block shows a zone based on the price and volume and for now plays a short-term supply zone – unless bitcoin pumps above 40500 USD.

BPRO Level Lines show resistance at:

45641
43078
41376

BPRO Level Lines show supports at:

38678
36208

These levels could be anticipated to serve as level-to-level references. In other words, when one level is breached, the next one in the direction of the movement can be expected to act as the next “magnet”

LTF 1H:

The hourly chart with the BPRO applied gives a clean picture for the major levels in the chart to note.

The Baseline Wave Pivots analysis shows that the main resistances are located at the 41600 USD and 44250 USD areas.

The local congestion and frequent polarity flips is occurring between the 39500 USD lows and the 41000 USD highs of the local sideways movement.

The overall instability of the financial markets past couple of days are not working in favor of the short-term bullishness. If added the sideways movement on top of that, it potentially lines up a short-term breakdown scenario which could potentially lead to the low 38000s USD region retest. It is, unless the 41600 USD is reclaimed with a daily close above.

FEAR/GREED INDEX

The military tensions seem to have induced quite a lot of fear inside the crypto market.

The sentiment is back at the extreme fear conditions.

As I often state, the crowds are usually right in the middle of trends and usually wrong about anticipating the extremes and reversals.

While the short-term movements are more or less chaotic and “random” due to the uncertainty, lack of momentum, the sentiment reads the current prices as potentially attractive within the medium or long-term scope of trading. For now, such an environment does not provide enough stability or predictability to open any new short-term positions in my view.

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HTF 12H:

The middaily chart with the most recent candlesticks displays a sequence of small-body candles forming a consolidation movement.

On the negative note, bitcoin seems to be trading near the short-term supply at around 45000 USD. The intraday price action does not seem to favor any specific direction. Every session spent under the resistance brings chances of downwards correction into the 36000-38000 USD region.

On the positive record, BTCUSD is trading high over the key prior resistances and so far confirming the upwards orientation of the market. Ever since breaking over the 3-month trend line, bitcoin has traded in the new upwards trend.

The way I read it, BTC is attempting to break out of the consolidation 41.7-45.7k USD with the base size of $4000. An upwards breakout would imply a target, based on the measured rule, nearing the psychological resistance at 50000 USD ($45700 + $4000 gives $49700 theoretical target). A follow-through to the upside is confirmed with a daily close above the 45700 USD level.

The BirbicatorPRO is confirming the bullish mode of the trend. The BWAP block, backed by price and volume, suggests a key support/resistance region at the 43500-44500 USD. A clean break-through could result in a further upwards continuation into the new highs.

MTF 4H:

The MTF chart shows a short-term bullishness per the CTF Trailer setup.

The bulls have re-gained the upper hand since the breakout above 43500 USD resistance. The short-term bullish concept is defended as long as BTCUSD does not close below the CTF Trailer Stop at 42158 USD.

The BWAP block shows a resistance at the 44-44.4k USD region. In case of a failure to reclaim above this zone, there is a chance of visiting the lower levels.

The Level Lines reveal that the most relevant short-term resistance is defined at the $45641 level.

BPRO Level Lines show supports at:

41376
38678
36208

These levels could be anticipated to serve as level-to-level references. In other words, when one level is breached, the next one in the direction of the movement can be expected to act as the next “magnet”

LTF 1H:

The hourly chart displays BTCUSD hitting the local demand block defined by the BPRO (the orange box).

The most essential pivotal level is defined at the 43650 USD level, which has technically not been broken down with the most recent candle close. It seems that a clean close below the floor level at $43400 could trigger the stop loss orders into a cascade of sells or a flash dump into the 42300-42600 USD area, defined by the subsequent area indicated by the clean pivot lines in the orange.

Local resistance seems to be mainly concentrated at the $44250 level. A strong reclaim over that level seems to bring higher chances of BTCUSD continuing higher into the 49-50k USD region, eventually.

Bitcoin: Number of Active Addresses (50d Moving Average)

As the glassnode explains, this on-chain metric is defined as “the number of unique addresses that were active in the network either as a sender or receiver. Only addresses that were active in successful transactions are counted.”

In favor of the bulls, the 50-day mean is curving up, which means that the medium-term on-chain activity and congestion is heading north. It is potentially supportive of the price increase.

Short-term wise, the 7-day average shows relatively increasing activity while the price remains short-term sideways. It is, again, potentially supportive of further upwards trajectory.

Eventually, the charts tell the story as it is. Yet, more often than not, major swings in the markets come from the external factors. It is better to be safe than sorry in terms of not getting over exposed to the risky positions, as long as e.g. the Russia-Ukraine tensions fade away.

More details in the exclusive video report. Cheers and God bless.

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